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A novel ensemble model for predicting the performance of a novel vertical slot fishway

Aydin SHISHEGARAN, Mohammad SHOKROLLAHI, Ali MIRNOROLLAHI, Arshia SHISHEGARAN, Mohammadreza MOHAMMAD KHANI

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2020年第14卷第6期页码 1418-1444 doi: 10.1007/s11709-020-0664-x

摘要： We investigate the performance of a novel vertical slot fishway by employing finite volume and surrogate models. Multiple linear regression, multiple log equation regression, gene expression programming, and combinations of these models are employed to predict the maximum turbulence, maximum velocity, resting area, and water depth of the middle pool in the fishway. The statistical parameters and error terms, including the coefficient of determination, root mean square error, normalized square error, maximum positive and negative errors, and mean absolute percentage error were employed to evaluate and compare the accuracy of the models. We also conducted a parametric study. The independent variables include the opening between baffles ( ), the ratio of the length of the large and small baffles, the volume flow rate, and the angle of the large baffle. The results show that the key parameters of the maximum turbulence and velocity are the volume flow rate and .

关键词： novel vertical slot fishway parametric study finite volume method ensemble model gene expression programming

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Robust ensemble of metamodels based on the hybrid error measure

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2021年第16卷第3期页码 623-634 doi: 10.1007/s11465-021-0641-7

摘要： Metamodels have been widely used as an alternative for expensive physical experiments or complex, time-consuming computational simulations to provide a fast but accurate analysis. However, challenge remains in the prior determination of the most suitable metamodel for a particular case because of the lack of information about the actual behavior of a system. In addition, existing studies on metamodels have largely restricted on solving deterministic problems (e.g., data from finite element models), whereas some real-life engineering problems (e.g., data from physical experiment) are stochastic problems with noisy data. In this work, a robust ensemble of metamodels (EMs) is proposed by combining three regression stand-alone metamodels in a weighted sum form. The weight factor is adaptively determined according to the hybrid error metric, which combines global and local error measures to improve the accuracy of the EMs. Furthermore, three typical individual metamodels that can filter noise are selected to construct the EMs to extend their application in practical engineering problems. Three well-known benchmark problems with different levels of noise and three engineering problems are used to verify the effectiveness of the proposed EMs. Results show that the proposed EMs have higher accuracy and robustness than the individual metamodels and other typical EMs in major cases.

关键词： metamodel ensemble of metamodels hybrid error measure stochastic problem

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Multi-model ensemble deep learning method for intelligent fault diagnosis with high-dimensional samples

Xin ZHANG, Tao HUANG, Bo WU, Youmin HU, Shuai HUANG, Quan ZHOU, Xi ZHANG

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2021年第16卷第2期页码 340-352 doi: 10.1007/s11465-021-0629-3

摘要： Deep learning has achieved much success in mechanical intelligent fault diagnosis in recent years. However, many deep learning methods cannot fully extract fault information to recognize mechanical health states when processing high-dimensional samples. Therefore, a multi-model ensemble deep learning method based on deep convolutional neural network (DCNN) is proposed in this study to accomplish fault recognition of high-dimensional samples. First, several 1D DCNN models with different activation functions are trained through dimension reduction learning to obtain different fault features from high-dimensional samples. Second, the obtained features are constructed into 2D images with multiple channels through a conversion method. The integrated 2D feature images can effectively represent the fault characteristic contained in raw high-dimension vibration signals. Lastly, a 2D DCNN model with multi-layer convolution and pooling is used to automatically learn features from the 2D images and identify the fault mode of the mechanical equipment by adopting a softmax classifier. The proposed method, which is validated using the bearing public dataset of Case Western Reserve University, USA and a one-stage reduction gearbox dataset, has high recognition accuracy. Compared with other classical deep learning methods, the proposed fault diagnosis method has considerable improvements.

关键词： fault intelligent diagnosis deep learning deep convolutional neural network high-dimensional samples

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一种基于多因素分析和多模型集成的海洋溶解氧浓度时间序列预测混合神经网络模型 Article

刘辉, 杨睿, 段铸, 吴海平

《工程（英文）》 2021年第7卷第12期页码 1751-1765 doi: 10.1016/j.eng.2020.10.023

摘要：

溶解氧是水产养殖的重要指标，准确预测溶解氧浓度可有效提高水产品质量。本文提出了一种新的溶解氧混合预测模型，该模型包括多因素分析、自适应分解和优化集成三个阶段。首先，考虑到影响溶解氧浓度的因素复杂繁多，采用灰色关联度法筛选出与溶解氧关系最密切的环境因素，多因素的考虑使得模型融合更加有效。其次，运用经验小波变换方法自适应地将溶解氧、水温、盐度和氧饱和度等序列分解为子序列。然后，利用5个基准模型对经验小波变换分解出的子序列进行预测，这五个子预测模型的集成权重通过粒子群优化和引力搜索算法计算得出。最后，通过加权分配得到溶解氧多因素集成模型。来自太平洋岛屿海洋观测系统希洛WQB04站收集的时间序列数据验证了该模型的性能。实验的评价指标包括Nash-Sutcliffe效率系数、Kling-Gupta效率系数、平均绝对百分比误差、误差标准差和决定系数。实例分析表明：①所提出的模型能够获得优异的溶解氧预测结果；②该模型优于文中其他对比模型；③预测模型可用于分析溶解氧变化趋势，便于管理者能够做出更好的决策。

关键词：溶解氧浓度预测时间序列多步预测多因素分析经验小波变化分解多模型优化集成

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Processing parameter optimization of fiber laser beam welding using an ensemble of metamodels and MOABC

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2022年第17卷第4期 doi: 10.1007/s11465-022-0703-5

摘要： In fiber laser beam welding (LBW), the selection of optimal processing parameters is challenging and plays a key role in improving the bead geometry and welding quality. This study proposes a multi-objective optimization framework by combining an ensemble of metamodels (EMs) with the multi-objective artificial bee colony algorithm (MOABC) to identify the optimal welding parameters. An inverse proportional weighting method that considers the leave-one-out prediction error is presented to construct EM, which incorporates the competitive strengths of three metamodels. EM constructs the correlation between processing parameters (laser power, welding speed, and distance defocus) and bead geometries (bead width, depth of penetration, neck width, and neck depth) with average errors of 10.95%, 7.04%, 7.63%, and 8.62%, respectively. On the basis of EM, MOABC is employed to approximate the Pareto front, and verification experiments show that the relative errors are less than 14.67%. Furthermore, the main effect and the interaction effect of processing parameters on bead geometries are studied. Results demonstrate that the proposed EM-MOABC is effective in guiding actual fiber LBW applications.

关键词： laser beam welding parameter optimization metamodel multi-objective

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气象水文集合预报的多源不确定性影响评估研究 Article

舒章康, 张建云, 汪琳, 金君良, 崔宁博, 王国庆, 孙周亮, 刘艳丽, 鲍振鑫, 刘翠善

《工程（英文）》 2023年第24卷第5期页码 213-229 doi: 10.1016/j.eng.2022.06.007

摘要：

评估复杂水文预报的来源不确定性对于深刻理解和改进水文预报精度至关重要，以往研究较少关注多源不确定性对气象水文预报复杂过程的影响。本研究提出了一种通用的基于贝叶斯模型平均（BMA）的集合框架，用于评估多源不确定性对气象水文预报全过程的影响。采用TIGGE中心的八种数值天气预报产品，四种完全不同结构的水文模型和1000组参数分别考虑来自输入、结构和参数的不确定性。在中国金溪池潭流域的实际应用表明：气象水文预报中数值预报输入的不确定性比水文模型的不确定性更大，水文模型结构的不确定性则明显大于模型参数的不确定性。洪峰流量预报的精度与数值天气预报的精度紧密相关，水文模型结构和参数及其交互作用则是枯水期流量预报的主要不确定性来源。当同时考虑三种不确定性来源时，径流过程预报精度更高。通过考虑复杂预报过程的主要不确定性源，基于BMA集合预报的预测精度更高，并可降低其他因素带来的不确定性。本文提出的多源不确定性评估框架可以较好地提升对气象水文预报过程的理解，在提高复杂水文预报精度方面具有广阔的应用前景。

关键词：气象水文预报不确定性评估贝叶斯模型平均集合预报多模型

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集成增强主动学习混合判别分析模型及其在半监督故障分类中的应用 Research Article

王伟俊1,王云2,王君1,方信昀3,何雨辰1

《信息与电子工程前沿（英文）》 2022年第23卷第12期页码 1814-1827 doi: 10.1631/FITEE.2200053

摘要：故障分类作为过程监控中不可缺少的部分，其性能高度依赖于过程知识的充分性。然而，由于采样条件有限及实验室分析昂贵，数据标签总是难以获取，这可能导致分类性能下降。为了解决这个难题，本文提出一种新的半监督故障分类方法，其中每个未标记样本相对于特定标记数据集的价值采用增强的主动学习来评估。具有高价值的未标记样本将作为训练数据集的补充信息。此外，引入了几个合理的指标和准则大大降低了人工标注的干扰。最后，通过数值例子和田纳西伊士曼过程（TEP）评估了该方法的故障分类有效性。

关键词：半监督；主动学习；集成学习；混合判别分析；故障分类

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Efficient Identification of water conveyance tunnels siltation based on ensemble deep learning

Xinbin WU; Junjie LI; Linlin WANG

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2022年第16卷第5期页码 564-575 doi: 10.1007/s11709-022-0829-x

摘要： The inspection of water conveyance tunnels plays an important role in water diversion projects. Siltation is an essential factor threatening the safety of water conveyance tunnels. Accurate and efficient identification of such siltation can reduce risks and enhance safety and reliability of these projects. The remotely operated vehicle (ROV) can detect such siltation. However, it needs to improve its intelligent recognition of image data it obtains. This paper introduces the idea of ensemble deep learning. Based on the VGG16 network, a compact convolutional neural network (CNN) is designed as a primary learner, called Silt-net, which is used to identify the siltation images. At the same time, the fully-connected network is applied as the meta-learner, and stacking ensemble learning is combined with the outputs of the primary classifiers to obtain satisfactory classification results. Finally, several evaluation metrics are used to measure the performance of the proposed method. The experimental results on the siltation dataset show that the classification accuracy of the proposed method reaches 97.2%, which is far better than the accuracy of other classifiers. Furthermore, the proposed method can weigh the accuracy and model complexity on a platform with limited computing resources.

关键词： water conveyance tunnels siltation images remotely operated vehicles deep learning ensemble learning computer vision

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在非对称大规模MIMO系统中基于集成—迁移学习的信道参数预测 Research Article

何遵文1,李悦1,张焱1,张万成1,张恺恩1,郭柳1,王海明2

《信息与电子工程前沿（英文）》 2023年第24卷第2期页码 275-288 doi: 10.1631/FITEE.2200169

摘要：近年来，多智能体深度强化学习（multi-agent deep 为降低第六代移动网络中的数据处理负担和硬件成本，非对称大规模多入多出（multiple-input multiple-output，MIMO）系统被提出。然而，在非对称大规模MIMO系统中，上行和下行无线信道之间的互易性是无效的。因此，需要基站和用户设备都发送导频来预测双向信道，这会消耗更多传输和计算资源。本文提出一种基于集成迁移学习的非对称大规模MIMO系统的信道参数预测方法，可以预测多个下行信道参数，包括路径损耗、多径数、时延扩展和角度扩展。选择上行信道参数和环境特征来预测下行参数。此外，提出一种基于SHAP（SHapley Additive exPlanations）值和最小描述长度标准的两步特征选择算法，以降低由弱相关或不相关特征引起的计算复杂度和对模型准确性的负面影响。引入实例迁移方法，以支持预测模型应对在新的传播条件下难以在短时间内收集足够训练数据的问题。仿真结果表明，该方法比反向传播神经网络和3GPP TR 38.901信道模型更准确。当波束宽度或通信扇区发生变化时，所提出的基于实例迁移的方法在预测下行参数方面优于没有迁移学习的方法。

关键词：非对称大规模MIMO系统；信道模型；集成学习；实例迁移；参数预测

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Ensemble unit and AI techniques for prediction of rock strain

Pradeep T; Pijush SAMUI; Navid KARDANI; Panagiotis G ASTERIS

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2022年第16卷第7期页码 858-870 doi: 10.1007/s11709-022-0831-3

摘要： The behavior of rock masses is influenced by a variety of forces, with measurement of stress and strain playing the most critical roles in assessing deformation. The laboratory test for determining strain at each location within rock samples is expensive and difficult but rock strain data are important for predicting failure of rock material. Many researchers employ AI technology in order to solve these difficulties. AI algorithms such as gradient boosting machine (GBM), support vector regression (SVR), random forest (RF), and group method of data handling (GMDH) are used to efficiently estimate the strain at every point within a rock sample. Additionally, the ensemble unit (EnU) may be utilized to evaluate rock strain. In this study, 3000 experimental data are used for the purpose of prediction. The obtained strain values are then evaluated using various statistical parameters and compared to each other using EnU. Ranking analysis, stress-strain curve, Young’s modulus, Poisson’s ratio, actual vs. predicted curve, error matrix and the Akaike’s information criterion (AIC) values are used for comparing models. The GBM model achieved 98.16% and 99.98% prediction accuracy (in terms of values of R²) in the longitudinal and lateral dimensions, respectively, during the testing phase. The GBM model, based on the experimental data, has the potential to be a new option for engineers to use when assessing rock strain.

关键词： prediction strain ensemble unit rank analysis error matrix

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Variation characteristics of atmospheric methane and carbon dioxide in summertime at a coastal site in the South China Sea

《环境科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2022年第16卷第11期 doi: 10.1007/s11783-022-1574-z

摘要：

● Diurnal patterns of CH₄ and CO₂ are clearly extracted using EEMD.

关键词： Methane Carbon dioxide Diurnal pattern Ensemble empirical mode decomposition South China Sea Sea breeze

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Anensemble method for data stream classification in the presence of concept drift

Omid ABBASZADEH,Ali AMIRI,Ali Reza KHANTEYMOORI

《信息与电子工程前沿（英文）》 2015年第16卷第12期页码 1059-1068 doi: 10.1631/FITEE.1400398

摘要： One recent area of interest in computer science is data stream management and processing. By ‘data stream’, we refer to continuous and rapidly generated packages of data. Specific features of data streams are immense volume, high production rate, limited data processing time, and data concept drift; these features differentiate the data stream from standard types of data. An issue for the data stream is classification of input data. A novel ensemble classifier is proposed in this paper. The classifier uses base classifiers of two weighting functions under different data input conditions. In addition, a new method is used to determine drift, which emphasizes the precision of the algorithm. Another characteristic of the proposed method is removal of different numbers of the base classifiers based on their quality. Implementation of a weighting mechanism to the base classifiers at the decision-making stage is another advantage of the algorithm. This facilitates adaptability when drifts take place, which leads to classifiers with higher efficiency. Furthermore, the proposed method is tested on a set of standard data and the results confirm higher accuracy compared to available ensemble classifiers and single classifiers. In addition, in some cases the proposed classifier is faster and needs less storage space.

关键词： Data stream Classificaion Ensemble classifiers Concept drift

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Conceptual study on incorporating user information into forecasting systems

Jiarui HAN, Qian YE, Zhongwei YAN, Meiyan JIAO, Jiangjiang XIA

《环境科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2011年第5卷第4期页码 533-542 doi: 10.1007/s11783-010-0246-6

摘要： The purpose of improving weather forecast is to enhance the accuracy in weather prediction. An ideal forecasting system would incorporate user-end information. In recent years, the meteorological community has begun to realize that while general improvements to the physical characteristics of weather forecasting systems are becoming asymptotically limited, the improvement from the user end still has potential. The weather forecasting system should include user interaction because user needs may change with different weather. A study was conducted on the conceptual forecasting system that included a dynamic, user-oriented interactive component. This research took advantage of the recently implemented TIGGE (THORPEX interactive grand global ensemble) project in China, a case study that was conducted to test the new forecasting system with reservoir managers in Linyi City, Shandong Province, a region rich in rivers and reservoirs in eastern China. A self-improving forecast system was developed involving user feedback throughout a flood season, changing thresholds for flood-inducing rainfall that were responsive to previous weather and hydrological conditions, and dynamic user-oriented assessments of the skill and uncertainty inherent in weather prediction. This paper discusses ideas for developing interactive, user-oriented forecast systems.

关键词： user-end information user-oriented interactive forecasting system TIGGE (THORPEX interactive grand global ensemble)

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基于回归预测集成学习的交互式图像分割 Article

Jin ZHANG, Zhao-hui TANG, Wei-hua GUI, Qing CHEN, Jin-ping LIU

《信息与电子工程前沿（英文）》 2017年第18卷第7期页码 1002-1020 doi: 10.1631/FITEE.1601401

摘要：对于复杂场景下的自然图像，全自动图像分割方法难以获得与真实情况吻合的结果，人们常常采用交互式分割手段实现精确分割。然而，当前及背景中存在颜色相似的区域时，传统半监督图像分割方法只能通过大量增加手工标记获得精确分割结果。为此，本文提出一种结合半监督学习的基于回归预测的集成学习交互式图像分割方法。通过集成两个互补的样条回归函数，将图像分割视为一个非线性预测问题。首先，基于已标记样本训练出两个在属性上互补的多元自适应回归样条学习器（multivariate adaptive regression splines, MARS）和薄板样条回归学习器（thin plate spline regression, TPSR）；接着，提出一种基于聚类假设和半监督学习的回归器增强算法，该算法从未标记样本中抽选部分样本辅助训练MARS和TPSR；然后，引入支持向量回归方法（support vector regression, SVR）集成MARS和TPSR的预测结果；最后，对SVR集成结果进行GraphCut图像分割。在标准数据库BSDS500和Pascal VOC上进行大量实验，验证了所提算法的有效性。大量对比实验证实，所提算法在交互式自然图像分割上的表现与当前最先进算法相当。

关键词：交互式图像分割；多元自适应回归样条；集成学习；薄板样条回归；半监督学习；支持向量回归

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基于Spark面向分布式EEMDN-SABiGRU模型的乘客热点预测

夏大文,耿建,黄瑞曦,申冰琪,胡杨,李艳涛,李华青

《信息与电子工程前沿（英文）》 2023年第24卷第9期页码 1316-1331 doi: 10.1631/FITEE.2200621

摘要：针对出租车与乘客之间的供需不平衡问题，本文提出一种基于Spark的分布式归一化集合经验模态分解和面向空间注意力机制的双向门控循环单元（EEMDN-SABiGRU）模型，实现乘客热点的精准预测，旨在于降低盲目巡航开支、提高载客效率和实现收益最大化。首先，提出一种归一化的集合经验模态分解方法（EEMDN），处理网格中乘客热点数据，解决非平稳序列问题和数值差异过大造成的预测精度下降问题，避免EMD本征模态函数（IMF）存在的模态混叠现象。其次，构建一种基于乘客上下车热点的权重和乘客的空间规律性的空间注意力机制，捕捉每个网格中的乘客热点特征。再次，融合一种双向门控循环单元（GRU）算法，解决GRU仅能获取前向信息而忽略后向信息问题，提高特征提取的准确性。最后，在Spark并行计算框架下，采用真实的出租车GPS轨迹数据，基于EEMDN-SABiGRU模型实现了乘客热点的准确预测。实验结果表明，在00网格4个数据集上，与LSTM、EMDL-STM、EEMD-LSTM、GRU、EMD-GRU、EEMD-GRU、EMDN-GRU、CNN和BP相比，EEMDN-SABiGRU的平均绝对百分比误差、平均绝对误差、均方根误差和最大误差值分别降低了43.18%、44.91%、55.04%和39.33%。

关键词：乘客热点预测集合经验模态分解（EEMD）空间注意力机制双向门控循环单元（BiGRU） GPS轨迹 Spark